The Heisman Calculator is a one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated 2017 Heisman votes. By using player and voter data from years past, we can identify statistical influencers that drive Heisman votes.
There was no second guessing who was going to win the 2017 Heisman Trophy. The Heisman Calculator was clear; Baker Mayfield wins by +1,073 points. Turned out to be a near bullseye prediction; Mayfield ended up winning by a margin of 1,098. The calculated marginal difference between placeholders, was a mere flush. Further validation the Heisman Calculator’s regression analysis is closely simulating the conditional expectation for the average value of the dependent variable when the independent variables are fixed. In other words, it’s getting easier and easier with each passing year to predict who wins the Heisman and by how many points/votes. The Heisman Calculator is a one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated Heisman votes. By using player and voter data from years past, we can identify statistical influencers that drive Heisman votes. For the third consecutive year, HeismanWatch.com foretells the Heisman Trophy outcome with greater accuracy than ESPN’s panel of experts and USATODAY’s Gannett Heisman [voter] survey.
Insight & Analysis
Heisman Watch calls out the weekend’s polarizing performances and how they impact the Heisman Trophy race
The SEC is going to be difficult to separate the Heisman contenders from the pretenders until they play each other. It’s easy to make a strong case for several players at this point, like so….. Best player, best team. Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa is arguably having the most efficient use of playing time of anybody in[…]
It’s difficult to make a strong case for Heisman at this point within the ACC. After all, the players making the statistical headlines haven’t played any meaningful games and the teams that have played a competitive game won/lost as a team. It’s odd because the conference’s most talented QB is a backup (Trevor Lawrence) while[…]
Surprise, surprise, the Big 12’s best Heisman candidates (so far) come from the quarterback position. So far two guys have stood above the rest in the conference best known for high-powered offenses. One QB in college football is not only doing his best impression of the 2017 Heisman Trophy Winner Baker Mayfield, he’s actually doing[…]
The Big Ten in terms of Heisman conversation has so far boiled down to three players on two teams. Let’s begin with the sensational sophomore from Wisconsin Jonathan ‘Touchdown’ Taylor, or JTT for the intrigue of 90’s kids out there. Taylor amassed 253 yards and three TD’s on Saturday against a team not exactly known[…]
Well the Pac-12 might not be the best power-5 conference in the country (worst winning % of any P-5 conference), but they have some of the best Heisman prospects in 2018. A possible #1 overall pick in next year’s draft, Oregon’s Justin Herbert looks like an NFL quarterback standing 6’6″ and weighing around 230. Herbert[…]
Will Grier In my opinion, if there’s one QB in college football who can replicate Baker Mayfield’s 2017 Heisman season statistically, it’s Will Grier. The West Virginia QB was named Big-12 Offensive Player of the Week after tearing apart SEC’s Tennessee en route to 429 yards, five TD’s and zero INT’s. Khalil Tate Going in[…]
Will Grier, West Virginia QB Arguably the best statistical QB returning from last season, West Virginia’s Will Grier looks to finally complete a full season of college football and reap the rewards that should follow. In the 10 full games Grier played in 2017, (Grier broke his finger in a game 11 against Texas), the[…]
Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin RB The bar has been set very high after a sensational freshman debut from Badger RB Jonathan Taylor after 1,977 rushing yards and 13 TD’s and a solid 6th place finish in Heisman voting in 2017. However, the likelihood of Taylor duplicating, if not exceeding these numbers is also very high. Wisconsin[…]
Bryce Love, Stanford RB It only makes sense for the Heisman runner-up to naturally move into the role as ‘favorite’ after the departure of leading vote-getter, Baker Mayfield. In fact, only three of the top-10 Heisman finishers from 2017 are back playing college football in 2018 (Jonathan Taylor for Wisconsin and McKenzie Milton for UCF).[…]
Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama QB It’s relatively unprecedented for a player to head into the season as a ‘Heisman favorite’ after having little to no playing time the year before, but Tua Tagovailoa made the most of his brief stint in the 2017 National Championship Game for Vegas to put him atop some preseason lists. Tagovailoa’s[…]
The Heisman Calculator is a one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated Heisman votes. By using player and voter data from years past, we can identify statistical influencers that drive Heisman votes. For the third consecutive year, HeismanWatch.com foretells the Heisman Trophy outcome with greater accuracy than ESPN’s panel of experts and USATODAY’s Gannett Heisman [voter] survey. Congratulations[…]
What a year! The most prestigious individual award in American sports goes to a former walk-on who has essentially mastered the quarterback position in college football. Mayfield’s name was peppered all around the top of every important passing category. Here’s where Mayfield ranks in the FBS: 1st in QB Rating (203.76) 1st in completion percentage[…]
Why? Because you have better things to do with your Saturday night.
Polls, rankings, “experts,” all tools the media uses to evaluate, group and ultimately award college football players and teams. Although hyperboles are fun, the only defining statement happens between the white lines. Baker Mayfield has proven week in and week out that he’s the best player in college football. He’s the epitome of efficiency and[…]
Week 14…Meat Locks: Championship Weekend! Keith Lofton Some big time, monster games this week. If you aren’t tuned into some college football this weekend, you’re doing it wrong. Playoff implications with 6 teams vying for their shot at sneaking in with a victory and on top of that, a few teams fighting for a big[…]