The Heisman Calculator is a one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated 2017 Heisman votes. By using player and voter data from years past, we can identify statistical influencers that drive Heisman votes.
There was no second guessing who was going to win the 2017 Heisman Trophy. The Heisman Calculator was clear; Baker Mayfield wins by +1,073 points. Turned out to be a near bullseye prediction; Mayfield ended up winning by a margin of 1,098. The calculated marginal difference between placeholders, was a mere flush. Further validation the Heisman Calculator’s regression analysis is closely simulating the conditional expectation for the average value of the dependent variable when the independent variables are fixed. In other words, it’s getting easier and easier with each passing year to predict who wins the Heisman and by how many points/votes. The Heisman Calculator is a one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated Heisman votes. By using player and voter data from years past, we can identify statistical influencers that drive Heisman votes. For the third consecutive year, HeismanWatch.com foretells the Heisman Trophy outcome with greater accuracy than ESPN’s panel of experts and USATODAY’s Gannett Heisman [voter] survey.
Insight & Analysis
Heisman Watch calls out the weekend’s polarizing performances and how they impact the Heisman Trophy race
Will Grier, West Virginia QB Arguably the best statistical QB returning from last season, West Virginia’s Will Grier looks to finally complete a full season of college football and reap the rewards that should follow. In the 10 full games Grier played in 2017, (Grier broke his finger in a game 11 against Texas), the[…]
Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin RB The bar has been set very high after a sensational freshman debut from Badger RB Jonathan Taylor after 1,977 rushing yards and 13 TD’s and a solid 6th place finish in Heisman voting in 2017. However, the likelihood of Taylor duplicating, if not exceeding these numbers is also very high. Wisconsin[…]
Bryce Love, Stanford RB It only makes sense for the Heisman runner-up to naturally move into the role as ‘favorite’ after the departure of leading vote-getter, Baker Mayfield. In fact, only three of the top-10 Heisman finishers from 2017 are back playing college football in 2018 (Jonathan Taylor for Wisconsin and McKenzie Milton for UCF).[…]
Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama QB It’s relatively unprecedented for a player to head into the season as a ‘Heisman favorite’ after having little to no playing time the year before, but Tua Tagovailoa made the most of his brief stint in the 2017 National Championship Game for Vegas to put him atop some preseason lists. Tagovailoa’s[…]
The Heisman Calculator is a one-of-a-kind regression model that processes simulated Heisman votes. By using player and voter data from years past, we can identify statistical influencers that drive Heisman votes. For the third consecutive year, HeismanWatch.com foretells the Heisman Trophy outcome with greater accuracy than ESPN’s panel of experts and USATODAY’s Gannett Heisman [voter] survey. Congratulations[…]
What a year! The most prestigious individual award in American sports goes to a former walk-on who has essentially mastered the quarterback position in college football. Mayfield’s name was peppered all around the top of every important passing category. Here’s where Mayfield ranks in the FBS: 1st in QB Rating (203.76) 1st in completion percentage[…]
Why? Because you have better things to do with your Saturday night.
Polls, rankings, “experts,” all tools the media uses to evaluate, group and ultimately award college football players and teams. Although hyperboles are fun, the only defining statement happens between the white lines. Baker Mayfield has proven week in and week out that he’s the best player in college football. He’s the epitome of efficiency and[…]
Week 14…Meat Locks: Championship Weekend! Keith Lofton Some big time, monster games this week. If you aren’t tuned into some college football this weekend, you’re doing it wrong. Playoff implications with 6 teams vying for their shot at sneaking in with a victory and on top of that, a few teams fighting for a big[…]
HeismanWatch.com’s Week 13 Rankings *HeismanWatch.com is in no way affiliated with the Heisman Trust Not a lot of movers and shakers in this weekend’s rankings. The major storyline heading into the weekend regarding the Heisman candidates was how Baker Mayfield would respond after getting benched to begin his last game in Norman, OK on Senior[…]
College football is just a few weeks away from the 2017 Heisman Trophy Presentation. In what’s arguably the most iconic, prestigious individual award in all of sports (no argument from me), the Heisman will belong to one deserving college football player who displayed excellence on and off the field for the entire season. The finalists[…]
Week 12…Meat Locks: I’m back with a vengeance -Keith Lofton Took a week off last week y’all…just didn’t have my game face on and was on football overload. Wanted to kick back and observe with no pressure. I can tell you this…I would have picked Notre Dame to beat Miami but the Canes are trying[…]
Lamar Jackson Thanks to himself for setting the bar so astronomically high, Lamar Jackson’s statistical efforts this season are going relatively unnoticed. Jackson is ranked 11th in passing YPG with over 300 passing YPG. Rushing, much of the same. Jackson is ranked 17th with over 117 rushing YPG. Once again, Jackson is leading the country[…]
Bryce Love Allegedly Bryce Love has a bad ankle. “Allegedly.” This ankle injury kept him out of a game at Oregon State and limited him against Washington State. “Allegedly” it hampered Love against Washington, a team ranked 4th in the country in stopping the run. So Love did what Love’s does when he’s playing and[…]
Baker Mayfield The clearcut leader in the Heisman clubhouse, Mayfield has been everything and more for the Sooners and their chance at a 7th Heisman winner (eight total Heisman’s but Archie Griffin won the award twice).* It’s a safe bet that as of right now the 2017 Heisman is Baker Mayfield’s to officially lose. Let’s[…]