Keith’s Bets, Week 5

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Week 5…Mr. 50/50 is in the house

-Keith Lofton

Another week and another week of .500 picks. 3-3 last week but we were oh so close! Looks like I still under rated the Georgia Bulldogs but I picked right this time around. WOW they look good. Penn St is right there with them and they’re balling out. Wisconsin dominated their game but couldn’t get over the 14.5 spread. USC couldn’t get out of their own way to pick up a big road win and those other two SEC picks were close but no cigar. All teams I picked, won BUT no cover except the Trojans. We are going into the plus this week!

#11 Washington St at Oregon O/U 60

I’m having a tough time picking a winner here. Both coming off big home wins but now Wazu travels to Autzen. I tend to lean towards Washington St -2.5 but I’ll steer clear from picking a road team at that venue. I can however tell you there are going to be some points scored this week. Both teams averaging over 40 points a game. I full expect this to be a bit of a shoot out. Each team will score 28+ mark my words and book this one.

Illinois at Iowa (-17)

No Heisman hype here? Na…this is strictly about the bet. Illinois is just flat out hot garbage. Iowa is tough, balanced and they can play some D. Considering Illinois is only averaging 18 PPG going up against a tough D won’t help increase that average. Iowa at home will be a welcome site. Iowa stomps down the non-Fighting Illini 30-10.

Wake Forest at #2 Clemson (-21.5)

Wake Forest is looking a little underappreciated and underrated. They’re 4-1 and they look like they’re going to battle every team they play in the ACC this season. Every team except the Tigers. Wake has a trip down the road to Death Valley this Saturday where the Tigers are balling out. Kelly Bryant is lurking in the background of the Heisman talks with his 10 total TD’s and leading his uber-efficient offense in rushing yards. I love this kid but I love the Tiger defense and Wake hasn’t seen a defense like this. I expect Clemson to score 40 while holding their opponent to 13-16 points. That means they cover meanwhile hitting the OVER. Hit them both together and thank me later.

Stanford (-4) at #20 Utah

I love me some Bryce Love…what an electric player and rising up the Heisman charts quickly. This game opened up at Utah -2 this week and quickly shifted to Stanford -6. This currently sits at Stanford -4.  Utah’s starting QB Tyler Huntley will be out this week which is likely the big change in the spread but the one thing people aren’t understanding is that the Utes are still running out their starting QB from last season and last I checked, Utah was pretty good last season. This game comes down to the running game. Bryce Love is averaging over 11 yards per carry and as a team Stanford is averaging just under 273 yards per game. But the Utes defense is only giving up 87 per contest…so who’s going to break. I feel like the Utes will be able to control Love enough to keep this one close. Utah is riding a 3 game win streak against the Cardinal’s. Expect a close one here. 30-27 Stanford. Book Utah +4.
This Friday night pick is killing me so far but I gotta hit one!!! Boise St (-7) at BYU

I mean BYU is averaging 12 points. I can’t see how they bounce back against Boise St. Don’t get me wrong the Broncos are no juggernaut…this is about how bad BYU is this season. No passing attack, very little rushing attack and no confidence just don’t bode well for the Cougs which puts a young coaching staff on the hot seat early into their campaign. Give me Boise on the road -7 all day! 27-17.

One more for the big weekend! #13 Miami (-3) at Florida State

Is it smart to bet on one of the biggest rivalry games in the country? Yep…I’m loving this Miami offense. Averaging 41 PPG and 517 yards/game and Florida St is completely the opposite. Miami is prepared to go on the road and win rivalry games. I know Coach Richt is anemic when it comes to winning rivalry games but this one has a different feel to it. Rosier, Walton and Berrios are fun to watch and ready to go in and rack some points on Florida St while the Seminoles are missing their Heisman hopeful QB in Francois. The rough around the edges, almost rusty offense won’t be able to keep pace with the Hurricanes. FSU will keep it close because it’s a rivalry game but give me Miami -3. 30-23.

 

I’m going 5-1 this week here, let’s jump on board and follow my lead.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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