Meat Lock Picks Week 10

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Week 10…Meat Locks: Still Riding with me?

-Keith Lofton

Another solid, solid week that could have been a banger if Clemson would stop pulling off the gas pedal late in games. Memphis, Penn St and Va. Tech all did what they were supposed to do though bringing the total to 3-2-1. However my lock of the week got ugly…TCU left their offense at home and realized they aren’t that good…or is Iowa St just a nice team? I’ve got a nice little slate on tap for you so get your duckets together and fling them in the air…or send them to your bookie. Or just watch from the sideline. Keep reading…I love the attention, until I don’t, you feel me?

Friday Night Pot Roast – #23 Memphis (-14.5) @ Tulsa

I’m going back for seconds on my pot roast and taking Memphis. I’m hungry and I want the same thing I had last Friday. An offensive juggernaut vs. a team that has struggled with a consistent offense. Tulsa can’t stop anyone on defense either…they’re the worst team in the nation in yards allowed per play. Ouch. I just don’t see how a team with a defense can stop an offense like Memphis. Give me the Tigers on the road 49 – 31. Keep climbing those polls Memphis! FYI, this O/U is 81…I’m tempted.

#5 Oklahoma at #11 Oklahoma St (-1.5)

Bedlam! I love this game, I love this rivalry. This year has one of the bigger implications than its had in years. Heisman’s, Big 12 Titles and a possible finalist in the playoff all ride on this game. OU comes in at #5 while OK St are #11…both have title hopes and this game figures to be a shootout. Given the Sooners and the Cowboys carry around the big guns and are led by Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph expect to duck for cover. Cowboys get the edge here with a little better run game, the home crowd and the ace in the hole in James Washington, I’ll take OK. ST. and Mullet Boy to pick up the W. James Washington will get two big plays that will change the game here. Final score 38-34. The O/U is 76..it’s going to be very close but the Big 12 overs have let me down a ton lately so I’ll stay away there. The winning QB here puts themselves front and center in the Heisman race.

#22 Arizona at #17 USC (-7)

When USC gets beat, it makes me smile…a couple weeks ago I had a huge smile on my face watching ND ball out and run all over USC. As I was looking at this game, I realized USC has a rushing defense that made even Utah’s run game look stout (it’s not) and Arizona is coming to town with essentially the hottest running game in the nation. Khalil Tate is a monster and if he had played this whole season, he’s easily a Heisman finalist…a big game on center stage at the Coliseum might help his case. Arizona has a very opportunistic defense and forces turnovers and Darnold and Co aren’t necessarily the safest…Darnold has 16 turnovers on the year. Neither team has a ton of blowouts either way so I expect this to be a little closer than a TD. Upset alert!!! Give me the Cats to Bear Down and cover. 41 – 38 Rich Rod and Co. That’s 79 points…for those keeping track, the O/U is 76.5. Hit that while you’re at it, just for fun.

Oregon at #12 Washington (-17)

Washington’s defense is only allowing 236 yards per game; Oregon has a good looking stat line of yards per game but they’re a different team on the road and they have been really bad since getting into PAC-12 play. Oregon’s big strength on O is their run game while U-Dubb only gives up 71. I expect the Huskies to bottle up the Ducks’ strength and roll at home. Give me Wash. minus the points. Also, its been a while since we’ve seen the Pettis highlight reel…he’s due for some big plays. UW 34 – Oregon 13.
#13 Virginia Tech (-1) @ #11 Miami

I’m loving this VA Tech ride and I’m staying on the bandwagon. The Canes have been struggling to sneak by the likes of Duke and North Carolina while the Hokies have been blowing past them. I haven’t seen a Miami game in which I’ve felt their offense is making enough plays to be a force to be reckoned with and I love the way Tech’s D is playing. They fly around and make plays. I expect VA Tech to win by a TD or more…Miami is going to run into a wall. Give me the Hokies -1. VA Tech 30 – Miami 21.

South Carolina at #1 Georgia (-23.5)

The Cocks ride into Athens riding a hot streak of three straight wins against the likes of Vandy, Tennessee and Arkansas…world beaters. USC has 6 wins strictly because they’ve played the bottom of the barrel in the SEC so far this season. Now they get a road game against the #1 team in the land. Not only that but they’re riding in running their mouths like they’re going to win, fueling the fire to a really good, really fast team. You should typically let a team that feels like they’ve finally reached the top, ride high and catch them when no one is looking. Georgia’s defense is only giving up 11 PPG and for a team that has struggled to score this season, that does not bode well. Give me the Dawgs at home minus the P’s. UGA 38 – USC 13. O/U is 45…Georgia is going to come close to covering that alone.  

Nevada at Boise St (-21)

Nevada sucks. Boise doesn’t. Boise is at home, Nevada isn’t. Smurf Turf blowout special. Broncos roll 37-3.

Florida at Missouri (-3)

Florida is playing for pride at this point in time. Malik Zaire is getting his first start of the season and it seems like every time a coach gets fired the team responds. This seems like the perfect storm for Florida to sneak into Memorial Stadium and take out some anger. Give me the Gators straight up ML bet. Florida 24 – Missouri 23.

I might have picked too many games but looking back at my picks this season I didn’t feel like I was throwing down on enough teams and I’m feeling both generous and confident so I’ll share a few more. I also like the Utes – 8.5 if UCLA doesn’t get Rosen. I like Kentucky -3.5, Penn St -10, NC St +7.5, Notre Dame -14, Iowa St +3.5 (ML looks nice too), Wisconsin -13.5 is a lock, and Kansas St/Texas Tech Over 63.

 

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